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 stochastic process




Bayesian Learning via Q-Exponential Process

Neural Information Processing Systems

Regularization is one of the most fundamental topics in optimization, statistics and machine learning. To get sparsity in estimating a parameter u Rd, an โ„“q penalty term, u q, is usually added to the objective function. What is the probabilistic distribution corresponding to such โ„“q penalty? What is the correct stochastic process corresponding to u q when we model functions u Lq? This is important for statistically modeling high-dimensional objects such as images, with penalty to preserve certain properties, e.g.






General Tensor Spectral Co-clustering for Higher-Order Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

Spectral clustering and co-clustering are well-known techniques in data analysis, and recent work has extended spectral clustering to square, symmetric tensors and hypermatrices derived from a network. We develop a new tensor spectral co-clustering method that simultaneously clusters the rows, columns, and slices of a nonnegative three-mode tensor and generalizes to tensors with any number of modes. The algorithm is based on a new random walk model which we call the super-spacey random surfer. We show that our method out-performs state-of-the-art co-clustering methods on several synthetic datasets with ground truth clusters and then use the algorithm to analyze several real-world datasets.


Theta-regularized Kriging: Modelling and Algorithms

arXiv.org Machine Learning

To obtain more accurate model parameters and improve prediction accuracy, we proposed a regularized Kriging model that penalizes the hyperparameter theta in the Gaussian stochastic process, termed the Theta-regularized Kriging. We derived the optimization problem for this model from a maximum likelihood perspective. Additionally, we presented specific implementation details for the iterative process, including the regularized optimization algorithm and the geometric search cross-validation tuning algorithm. Three distinct penalty methods, Lasso, Ridge, and Elastic-net regularization, were meticulously considered. Meanwhile, the proposed Theta-regularized Kriging models were tested on nine common numerical functions and two practical engineering examples. The results demonstrate that, compared with other penalized Kriging models, the proposed model performs better in terms of accuracy and stability.


Spectral Learning of Dynamic Systems from Nonequilibrium Data

Neural Information Processing Systems

Observable operator models (OOMs) and related models are one of the most important and powerful tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. They exactly describe dynamics of finite-rank systems and can be efficiently and consistently estimated through spectral learning under the assumption of identically distributed data. In this paper, we investigate the properties of spectral learning without this assumption due to the requirements of analyzing large-time scale systems, and show that the equilibrium dynamics of a system can be extracted from nonequilibrium observation data by imposing an equilibrium constraint. In addition, we propose a binless extension of spectral learning for continuous data. In comparison with the other continuous-valued spectral algorithms, the binless algorithm can achieve consistent estimation of equilibrium dynamics with only linear complexity.